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Global increase of warmer years is no accident

A statistical analysis was performed of the mean global temperature for every year between 1880 and 2006 to determine if the presence of 13 years with temperatures above the average of 15C is just a statistical fluke. They determined that there is a 1:10,000 chance (which means extremely unlikely) that recent warm years were due to chance rather than some influence factor. The study made no claims about what the influence factor could be, but agree that the most likely cause is the presence of greenhouse gasses.
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Science News / Florence Nightingale: The Passionate Statistician

An interesting article on how Florence Nightingale used the relatively new field of medical statistics to analyze the problems with British hospitals in Turkey. She even developed new statistical graphing methods to help get her point across.

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What does it take to get students interested in statistics? According to Herbie Lee, associate professor of statistics and mathematics at the University of California, the answer is chocolate chip cookies. For example, rather than the traditional M&Ms or Hershey's Kisses, he hands out a cookie to each student and has them count the number of chocolate chips in each (requiring, of course, the student to consume the "waste"). The results generally follows a Poisson distribution, which introduces them to the concepts of variability. The cookies make frequent reappearances when he discusses testing methods. For example, two brands of cookies get compared using a t-test.

For those who are interested, you can read about his chocolate-chip cookie methods in Volume 61, Issue 4 of the American Statistician. A PDF of the paper can be found at his web site at http://www.ams.ucsc.edu/~herbie/

January 2010

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